• The surf is up today in anticipation of Hurricane José’s passage east of the American coast tomorrow, and the National Weather Service placed the East End under a Tropical Storm Watch effective 5:30 p.m. last night, due to the likelihood of tropical storm conditions within the next 48 hours. NWS expects sustained winds here of 25 to 35 miles per hour, with gusts to 45. A High Surf Advisory is in effect at ocean beaches, with waves expected to be 6 to 9 feet today, building to 10 to 16 feet tomorrow. The rip current risk is high. The far east end of the South Fork is expected to feel the greatest impact of the wind, rain and erosion caused by this storm. Hang on, Montauk!
• “Areas of 1 to 2 feet of coastal flood inundation are possible with the Tuesday and Wednesday high tide cycles across tidal portions of Southeast New York, Northeast New Jersey, and Southern Connecticut,” according to the National Weather Service’s local hurricane statement, “with localized inundation of up to 3 feet…in the typically more vulnerable locations along the south shore back bays of Long Island and New York City, and along Peconic and Gardiners Bays.” This storm is due to pass to our east a day before the new moon on Sept. 20, when high tides are generally elevated from norm. Rainfall with this storm is expected to be 2 to 5 inches through Wednesday.
The high tides for the East End for the next three days are as follows:
Plum Gut Harbor: 8:48 a.m., 9:14 p.m.
Montauk Harbor: 7:56 a.m., 8:22 p.m.
Greenport: 9:25 a.m., 9:51 p.m.
Mattituck Inlet: 10:28 a.m., 10:51 p.m.
Sag Harbor: 9:20 a.m., 9:46 p.m.
New Suffolk: 10:47 a.m., 11:13 p.m.
South Jamesport: 10:54 a.m., 11:20 p.m.
Shinn. Inlet: 6:20 a.m., 6:38 p.m.
Plum Gut Harbor: 9:34 a.m., 9:59 p.m.
Montauk Harbor: 8:42 a.m., 9:07 p.m.
Greenport: 10:11 a.m., 10:36 p.m.
Mattituck Inlet: 11:16 a.m., 11:39 p.m.
Sag Harbor: 10:06 a.m., 10:31 p.m.
New Suffolk: 11:33 a.m., 11:58 p.m.
South Jamesport: 11:40 a.m.
Shinn. Inlet: 7:08 a.m., 7:24 p.m.
Plum Gut Harbor: 10:19 a.m., 10:44 p.m.
Montauk Harbor: 9:27 a.m., 9:52 p.m.
Greenport: 10:56 a.m., 11:21 p.m.
Mattituck Inlet: 12:02 p.m.
Sag Harbor: 10:51 a.m., 11:16 p.m.
New Suffolk: 12:18 p.m.
South Jamesport: 12:05 a.m., 12:25 p.m.
Shinn. Inlet: 7:53 a.m., 8:08 p.m.
• We’re expecting isolated showers today, with mostly cloudy skies and a high near 73 degrees. Winds will be out of the northeast at 9 to 11 miles per hour. There’s a 50 percent chance of showers overnight, with a steady temperature around 69 degrees. Tropical storm conditions are possible tomorrow. We will have updated information online here as the accuracy of the forecast for this storm improves.
• The League of Women Voters of the Hamptons will hold a forum on the referendum on this November’s ballot on whether to hold a New York State Constitutional Convention this evening at the Hampton Bays Senior Center at 7 p.m. All are welcome to attend. More details are online here.
And that’s the way things look at dawn’s light here today.